Where’s The Snow?

After a round of light snow moved across northern and northeast Iowa this morning, things are starting to clear out and become quiet. Snowfall reports this morning show anywhere from a light dusting to as much as 5″. Here are a few of the higher snowfall reports that occurred across northeast Iowa:

  • 5.0″ in Garnavillo
  • 4.7″ 4 miles NNW of Lanark
  • 4.0″ 1 mile NW of Dubuque
  • 4.5″ 1 mile SSE Fairhaven

The next few days, the weather will be fairly quiet with the sun finally making a return to the state by Thursday afternoon.  Thursday, highs will be in the 30’s with lows in the 20’s. Warmer weather will then work back into the state on Friday, as highs will range from the upper 30’s across northern Iowa to the lower 50’s in southwest Iowa. If you recall, last Friday, highs ranged from the upper 30’s in northern Iowa to the lower 60’s in southwest Iowa. So having two Friday’s in a row with above average temperatures, you can’t beat that! Just to give you an idea of what is average for this time of year, average highs should range from the lower 20’s across northern Iowa to the lower 30’s across southern Iowa.

ECMWF Total Snowfall Accumulation

ECMWF 00z Total Snowfall Accumulations through 1/31/2015

 

The weekend will start off dry, and above average, but rain and snow will be working into the state with our next clipper system on Sunday. Saturday, highs will once again be in the 30’s and 40’s across the state, with overnight lows in the upper 20’s to mid 30’s. Early Sunday, the rain and snow will then enter into the state, and this will keep our temperatures down. The latest trend has shifted this clipper system further to the northeast than previous runs had shown. The best chance for accumulating snow, once again appears to be in the places that received snow this morning.

Total GFS Precipitation

Total Precipitation via 12z GFS parallel

 

Rain will be possible the further southwest you travel, so places across central and southwest Iowa will see this chance for light rain Sunday afternoon. From the total precipitation graphic above, you will notice the bulk of the precipitation stays in northeast and eastern Iowa, and this is where we will see mostly all snow. Further to the southwest in the graphic above, places that are in the grey’s will be warmer, so they will see light rain instead of snow.

National Weather Service Omaha Forecast Graphic

Graphic via NWS Omaha

To our southwest Iowa followers that keep asking us “when is it going to snow in southwest Iowa?!?!?” well the National Weather Service in Omaha chimed in on this, this morning. As they state, “historically, 9 of our 10 biggest 2-day snows in Omaha have come in February and March.” As a kid I was told by my parents, good things come to those who wait, so stick in there with us, and lets hope that we see a few more larger storm systems that move through in February that bring a good amount of snow to those of you who are so badly wanting the snow in southwest Iowa.

Back on Sunday, the long range GFS was teasing us for one of the model runs and was showing a nice Groundhog day winter storm. However, as we all know, nothing in the long range is never as it seems, which is why we never talk about it. Moral of the story is winter is not over yet,  so for you snow lovers, don’t get too upset just yet if you haven’t had the snow you were hoping for this year. As always, we will continue to be here and will monitor all of the very latest.

 

Zach Sharpe

My name is Zach Sharpe. I am the president and forecaster for the Iowa Storm Chasing Network. You can find me on Twitter @Stormchaserzach and on Facebook at: https://www.facebook.com/stormchaserzach/

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