The storm prediction center has now launched a new way that they will be evaluating risk outlooks. Instead of the old 3 risk level (slight, moderate, high), they will now be using a 5 step risk level.
The new 5 step outlook will go like this. The old way, when there was just a threat for thunderstorms with a small severe risk, a “see text” would be issued. This is no longer the case. There will be no see text, instead it will be replaced by marginal. The next step is the slight risk, however, this zone is now broken up into two levels. Instead of the old slight risk zone, you will now have slight risk and enhanced risk. The enhanced risk is the upper end of the slight risk. Moderate and high risks will be left the same.
There are also changes to the day two outlook as well. For a high risk to now be issued on day 2, it now has to be a 60% hatched zone, which translates to not seeing too many high risks being issued on day two. For a high risk to now be issued on day two you will have to have higher certainties.
I would image that there will be a lot of confusion now with the word enhanced. When thinking of the word enhanced, one will think that is at a higher level than moderate. When in reality it is the step below moderate. We have heard a quite a few responses from our followers.
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