UPDATE: Catastrophic Event Forecasted for Saturday

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Catastrophic is not a word that I like to wield around very often.  But that’s exactly what’s facing parts of Iowa, Nebraska and several other states.  A powerful storm system will center itself in Nebraska with a warm front jutted out to the east and a cold front/dry line down to the south.  Above are the areas of greatest concern on Saturday.  You can see in the graphic to the left the enormous area already under a high risk. 

The Storm Prediction Center hasn’t issued a high risk this early in more than six years.  Below this article, I’ve posted the risk potential for tomorrow.  60% is a very rare sight to see on a day two outlook such as this, let alone, again, over such a large area.  It shows you how dangerous and how sure they are that a major tornado outbreak is just 24 hours away.   Supercells are expected to develop close to a “triple point” in eastern Nebraska Saturday afternoon.  Additional development is likely to spread quickly into portions of western Iowa.  This is the area where strong, violent and long-track tornadoes are expected to form.

These tornadoes could reach wind speeds in excess of 200 miles per hour and cause great loss of life and property as they move through.  Everyone… EVERYONE in the risk areas needs to stay close to web, TV and radio outlets so they make sure they are constantly up to date on the outbreak as it unfolds.

This is also the best time to remind you that if dangerous weather is threatening you or your family, the best thing you can do is seek shelter IMMEDIATELY.  The best place to go is the lowest level of your home, preferably a basement.  If you do not have a basement, the ideal situation would be to spend Saturday at a place a little safer.  But if the storm is approaching and it is too late, you need to get to an interior room, perhaps a closet or bathroom.

There is also a threat of additional development further to the east across Iowa, as a warm front swings north into the state during the evening and overnight hours.  There is also the potential for tornadic development in these areas, but that threat is much lower.  Severe weather is expected to persist for most if not the entire night with another round affecting Iowa on Sunday, especially across eastern Iowa.

Again, I cannot stress enough the potential danger in tomorrow’s weather conditions.  The forecast calls for a potentially catastrophic outbreak in portions of eastern Nebraska and Western Iowa.  People in these areas need to make sure they are aware of the weather situation AT ALL TIMES on Saturday.  With any luck, a lot of preparation and prevention will prevent this disaster in the making from taking any lives.

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(28) Comments

  1. @Jon – please don’t leave a comment like that. This is an incredibly serious event. Not one life should ever be lost due to a tornado. Warning times have increased and storm chasers put their lives at risk so that people such as yourself have ample time to get you and your loved ones to safety in the event of a tornado. Do not take this lightly. I’m not being over-dramatic. Being a negligent idiot would be someone such as yourself that doesn’t heed these warnings and allows you and your family to be put in danger. Please stay safe.

  2. @ antwon, lol. @ jon, stop scaring the s%$# out of everyone. u sir r the idiot. learn to spell, and i hope u r not in this things path. u will probably stand outside saying “ooo” and “ahhh”, and then a cow will drop out of the sky and snap your stupid neck. fool.

  3. I wish I had not first heard about this from a guy who had destroyed hid credibility on the Gorbal Warming stuff.

    As near as I can tell, there is not data in this, just model outputs.

    I’m following the recommendation of “go on with life”, like we have around here for a long time, and like we have for a long time, keep an eye open and on the weather.

  4. If you don’t stress the importance of the situation, most people brush it off as “some hail and wind tomorrow” —- There could be devastating tornadoes tomorrow, particularly eastern Nebraska. Tornadoes that are moving 40-45 mph after dark that you wont see coming. People need to understand the gravity of the situation.

  5. Go ahead and scare the $h** out of me!!! I would rather know and be scared and hiding somewhere then come out laughing about it instead of having no clue and running to save myself and famil

  6. Why are so many of you so rude to someone who is just trying to save your life??? They put themselves in harms way to give you a heads up and time to prepare. I am thankful for what they do. Lets hope there is no loss of life today. (P.S. RIP Andy Gabrielson -an amazing chaser)

  7. This is the midwest where sever and deadly storms happen every year no matter what season it is. As for haveing this dangerous of a storm happen this early in the season, it does happen. April 9th 2011 Mapleton Iowa. My dad and his wife lost everything in a tornado. I beleve there were 11 other tornados in the midwest that night as well. I think anyone that has lived in the midwest for any length of time knows to be prepared for severe weather. Maybe the word catastrophic is too strong of a word, it can cause a mob mentality and cause an over reaction and that can be just as dangerous. SRORM CHASERS i think you guys rock!!! with out you our technology would not move forword. Be safe while you are out there tonight keeping the rest of us safe. And yes I will be outside tonight saying OOOH and AHHH until it is time to take shelter. I live in IOWA thats what we do.

  8. Thank you for the information.
    This is like every other information. Who is interested in will take it. Others will be disappointed. Jon I think you are smart enough, so you decide if this information is good for you or not. It seems like you are assuming that anything will happens. Great! I hope you right! Calling names cannot delete the information given. Prevention is better than no knowledge. If anything happens, Fabulous! If something happens at least we tried not to be hurt. Everybody please stay safe!

  9. I live in where these storm warning are. Its a year two days ago that we had a tornado come right through out town. I am hoping we don’t get another one. If was the worst night ever.

  10. I think the is the best for of information one can get. Where I live we have several trailer homes, and they come here to the fire station to seek shelter. Technology is improving…that’s why they are giving us these early warnings. @Jon…you must feel pretty stupid since the tornado’s have already starting; three in Oklahoma City. You are one of those guys that thinks he knows everything, yet get proven wrong every day.

  11. Keep it up. Thanks for the info. If people would take responsibility for their own safety and do something as simple as watching TWC or even local TV/radio, things would be even better

  12. To all: Fact- nothing you can do will stop it if it hits. Fact-It always has the potential to miss. FACT: EVERYONE CAN TAKE STEPS TO MINIMIZE THE LOSS OF LIFE AND REDUCE POSSIBLE PROPERTY DAMAGE BY TAKING THIS SERIOUSLY, PUTTING PRECAUTIONS IN PLACE AND SETTING UP A PREARRANGED AREA FOR RIDING IT OUT IF IT HITS. I HOPE IF ANYONE CHOOSES TO MINIMIZE THE POTENTIAL RISKS OF THIS SUPERCELL AND BE BUSINESS AS USUAL< THAT HEY DO NOT HAVE FAMILY DEPENDING ON THEM FOR THEIR SAFETY. I AM HOPING THIS WILL MISS US, BUT WE ARE READY IF IT DOESNT.

  13. If you haven’t prayed before folks now is the time to storm heavens gates!!!!! If Jesus could calm the storms, we can to. Remember what He said? We would do even greater things!! Well it’s time to rise up in faith believing for Father God to show up big time. Before a miracle can happen there has to be a need. God each one. I pray for total safety for each one.

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