Once again, Minnesota and the Dakotas are the focus of today’s threat for severe weather. You can see in the graphic to the left the area the Storm Prediction Center is monitoring for severe weather. A portion of northern Iowa is affected by this slight risk, but the best chance for severe weather will be along and north of a warm front setting up to the north of the state.
Showers and thunderstorms are expected to develop this afternoon and evening along that front. Some strong storms may develop later here in Iowa, but the overall threat is pretty low. Much like the storms that developed early this morning, a stray storm may reach severe limits, but the threat of a prolonged and organized severe weather complex is remote.
Our best chance for severe weather comes tomorrow when a frontal system moves through during peak heating. The system is expected to touch off strong thunderstorms across central and eastern Iowa. At this time it appears all modes of severe weather would be possible with these storms, with a primary threat of strong damaging winds.
Looking further ahead, closely monitoring our next frontal system scheduled to pass through Iowa sometime on Tuesday. This looks like a much stronger system that may be capable of producing a larger outbreak of severe weather somewhere in the central United States. This is still several days away so difficult to pinpoint much but certainly something to keep an eye on.
As for today, we’ll monitor northern Iowa for any increased threat today. And if storms do develop you’ll find the very latest here on iowachase.com