Severe thunderstorms will be possible mainly from Monday afternoon through Monday evening across central and eastern Iowa.
A cold front will be the primary forcing mechanism for convective initiation. Initiation will likely occur by Monday afternoon across western Iowa, with convection quickly growing upscale into a line along the front.
Strong to damaging wind gusts will be the main threat with this activity. However, the low level jet will be increasing through the early evening, which will provide the potential for a few spin-up tornadoes in notches or the leading edge of the line.
The greatest threat of severe weather in the outlined slight risk will be between 5pm and 10pm Monday evening.
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