Severe Weather Sunday?

It may not seem possible after the nice weather the past few days, but across south central Nebraska, there will be the potential for strong to severe storms. This will not be a major or widespread thunderstorm threat by any means, but still something to keep in mind going into Sunday.

At the surface, a low pressure center will begin organizing by mid-day over far northeast Colorado, with this potent low then reaching somewhere in the central/north central Nebraska area by sunset and then into southeast South Dakota by midnight, having deepened further. Given this impressive pressure gradient, there is no doubt that especially Sunday afternoon/evening will feature strong winds across the area. Winds initially will be from the south and then trend more westerly behind the passing dry line/cold front combo.

By Sunday afternoon, decent instability for late November will surge northeastward into the state. This will allow scattered thunderstorms to develop across southern Nebraska by late afternoon. There is some concerns with the expected cloud cover Sunday morning. If this does not clear out, this will inhibit the instability potential. Current forecast has a dry slot moving in by early afternoon, which would clear the clouds out of the area.

The main threats with any of the stronger to severe storms would be hail and strong winds. However, if things come together just right, which may or may not happen, an isolated tornado threat may materialize. This is something we will be keeping an eye on, but the main risks should mainly be a hail and wind threat.

Continue to check back for the latest updates.

Zach Sharpe

My name is Zach Sharpe. I am the president and forecaster for the Iowa Storm Chasing Network. You can find me on Twitter @Stormchaserzach and on Facebook at: https://www.facebook.com/stormchaserzach/

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