We are watching the radar very closely today, as we are under a slight risk of severe weather today. These storms will be accompanied by damaging wind, severe hail, and a few tornadoes. Storms this afternoon will move out of Nebraska and will move off to the northeast. Storms will line out by late afternoon and this is when the tornado threat will transition to a damaging wind threat. This wind threat will make it to the eastern side of the state.
From the image above, the greatest tornado potential is in the 10% zone. This includes southeast Nebraska, southwest Iowa, and northwest Missouri. When the storms will line out this afternoon, the potential exists for embedded supercells so this is why a 5% risk extends back into central Iowa. While the main threat will be damaging winds, an isolated tornado may occur.
Another thing we will be watching is the heavy rain potential. Rainfall totals this afternoon into evening will be between 1 and 3 inches with locally higher amounts of 4+ inches. This could lead to flash flooding, and that is why a flash flood watch will go into effect at 7pm this evening and will last through Wednesday morning.
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