After an unexpected active Monday, Tuesday will bring another round of rain, and the potential for severe weather. Storms across Minnesota and Wisconsin Tuesday morning will add some uncertainty to the severe weather threat for Tuesday afternoon, but it does appear enough ingredients will be in place ahead of a cold front which will move through the state by late afternoon.
The latest high resolution models appear to be overdoing the amount recovery that will occur Tuesday. However, enough recovery will be allowed, that dew points will be in the upper 60’s to lower 70’s across central and eastern Iowa by Tuesday afternoon. The greatest severe weather risks with storms Tuesday afternoon will be damaging winds and possibly a few storms with marginally severe hail. These storms will be very similar to the ones we had move through the state today.
Storms will form just to the east of I-35 after 6pm Tuesday, and will quickly line out as they push off to the east. Because of this, the Storm Prediction Center has issued a slight risk of severe weather.
These storms Tuesday afternoon will also be heavy rainfall makers. Forecast rainfall totals on Tuesday range from a quarter of an inch to as much as an inch and a quarter. This will pose a flash flooding threat as many locations today are already saturated from the heavy rainfall today. After the rain clears out of the state, the remainder of the week will be quiet and cooler!