We continue to keep a very close eye on the forecast for this weekend. With this weekend being Mother’s day, a lot of you will be outdoors having a BBQ or just spending time with mom. However, strong to severe storms will move through the state Sunday afternoon into evening.
To start off, storms will move out of the Kansas area late Saturday night. This area of storms will have the capability of producing damaging winds and large hail mainly across the southern portion of the state. These storms will then clear out of the state by mid morning Sunday. This will allow the atmosphere to destabilize Sunday afternoon, which will provide the fuel for the storms.
A strong low pressure system will then be centered over Nebraska by late morning Sunday. This low will be strengthening as it moves towards Iowa. Extending from this low is a warm front that will be lifting to the north through the state Sunday. This warm front will be one of the many triggers for storms by Sunday afternoon.
Another trigger for storms will be a dry line that will be oriented north/south across western Iowa by early afternoon Sunday. The problem that will arise Sunday is one moment it will be sunny, and the next it will be stormy. If you have plans on Sunday, you will want to watch the radar very closely as these isolated storms will sneak up upon you. Since there is still some uncertainty in the models, timing and greatest risk areas will be better refined in the coming hours. We will be here all weekend keeping you up to date on all the very latest.