The next few days are going to be a very busy for the ISCN chase team. Today, they are on their way to the Oklahoma/Texas border. This is where an enhanced risk of severe weather exists for the potential of large hail, damaging winds and tornadoes.
On Friday, the severe weather threat will exist across the southern plains. This is where a moderate risk has just been issued just this afternoon. Severe thunderstorms will develop across the southern and central great plains by Friday afternoon. Very large hail, damaging winds, and tornadoes are expected, especially across western Oklahoma.
The severe threat then shifts to the northeast of Saturday, and this looks to be the most potent day. The Storm Prediction Center says that a severe weather outbreak appears possible across parts of the great plains on Saturday. Widespread intense thunderstorms should develop over portions of Oklahoma, Kansas and Texas during the afternoon. Tornadoes, very large hail, and damaging winds are likely in these areas.
The National Weather Service in Wichita states in their forecast discussion this morning that, “the severe weather threat increases significantly for Saturday. Saturday is a significant severe weather day with long lived damaging tornadoes, baseball or larger hail and winds greater than 80mph possible.” If you have friends that live in this moderate risk, please alert them to this risk on Saturday.
On Sunday, the attention turns here to the state. There are still uncertainty with the models, so it is still early to determine specifics. However, if you have Mother’s day plans on Sunday, you will want to be watching the weather very closely. The National Weather service in Des Moines stated this morning that, “Sunday and Sunday evening is likely to unfold as a significant outbreak day.”
Our team will be tracking all of these threats very closely, so continue to check back here frequently for the latest forecast updates.