With a flip flopping threat over Iowa, the Storm Prediction Center has settled on a risk area, but not as broad as they considered this time yesterday. A slight risk is posted for western portions of the state. But I want to stress this is a very low end severe weather threat. Storms are expected to develop along a frontal boundary in the area. But at this time there’s not a lot of dynamics that indicate a good organized severe weather outbreak.
That doesn’t mean those in the risk area shouldn’t keep watch for any strong storms. There will be enough instability in the atmosphere to fuel any storms that get going this afternoon. All modes of severe weather are possible, with the primary threats large hail and strong winds. We’ll keep an eye on today’s threat but we don’t foresee any major coverage today with isolated severe storms expected.