Holiday Planners Walk Fine Line

day2otlk_0600The latest outlook from the Storm Prediction Center appears a little more menacing than it might turn out to be.  This morning, most of Iowa was placed under a slight risk for severe weather on Sunday.  This is worrisome for anyone planning a 4th of July event, including myself.

If you find yourself cursing anyone tomorrow it will likely be the remnants of Hurricane Alex.  The storms moisture is streaming towards Iowa and will interact with a cold front draped over the state on Sunday.  With a lack of any strong winds, the moisture is not expected to exit the area until sometime on Monday.  Overall, the threat for severe weather appears low as heavy rain looks to be the biggest problem on Sunday.

It’s possible parts of Iowa will see showers and thunderstorms as the 4th begins.  Then with a little time and sun, more storms are expected to fire in the afternoon and into the evening hours.  The optimistic side of me is that storms might lose some punch after sunset, which might also decrease the area affected by the rain.  This is crucial to those trying to set off fireworks displays across Iowa.

day3prob_0730Looking further ahead the storm system will linger in Iowa for another day.  This could produce an isolated severe storm or two on Monday, but no major severe weather outbreak is expected at this time.  We’ll certainly keep on eye on that but for right now, the focus is the damper mother nature might put on Iowans’ holiday plans.  All we can do now is keep our fingers crossed and think really dry thoughts.

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