Here We Go Again: New Week Brings More Severe Weather to Iowa

day2otlk_1730Did you enjoy the quiet weather this weekend?  I hope you did because it’s not going to continue into the week for much of Iowa.  Another storms system is getting ready to affect the area once again.  As you can se in the graphic to the left, the Storm Prediction Center is forecasting a slight risk for severe weather over much of the state on Monday.

The culprit is a warm front that should set up shop Monday afternoon just south of Iowa in portions of northern Missouri.  This is where we believe showers and thunderstorms will touch off. 

It appears all modes of severe weather (large hail, strong damaging winds and tornadoes) will be possible Monday afternoon and evening.  The threat for tornadoes should also stretch into Iowa, especially in the southwest portion of the state.

day2probotlk_1730_anyTaking a look at the graphic to the right, you can see the breakdown of probabilities.  This shows the greatest threat closest to the warm front, along the Iowa – Missouri border.

My concern at this hour is that this will be a similar setup to what we saw on Thursday night/Friday morning.  Storms will follow along the front, push across Iowa, producing a long duration severe weather event as well as aggrevating area grounds already saturated by last week’s heavy rainfall.  This will continue to leave parts of the state at risk for not only flash flooding, but river flooding as well.

Of course we’ll continue to monitor this situation and will bring you updates when needed.  We plan to have a full update on the situation in the morning and, if needed, we’ll launch our live coverage of severe weather on Monday.

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