This morning at 1:00am, the Storm Prediction Center posted a slight risk for most if not all of Iowa. I thought about writing about the dangers of tornadoes in SW Iowa, and the modest outbreak of severe weather over a good portion of the state. But I hesitated and now I’m glad I did. As you can see above, the risk area has been cut dramatically. In Iowa, it now focuses primarily on eastern Iowa.
A shortwave will pass through the state this afternoon and evening and, once it approaches eastern Iowa, could trigger a round of strong to severe thunderstorms. While all modes of severe weather are possible, the tornado risk today is very low. Strong winds and large hail appear to be the primary threats.
We are monitoring the situation and will bring you additional updates as the conditions warrant.