Chase Debrief and Regroup

Lightning captured in Janesville, IA on April 24, 2009

Lightning captured in Janesville, IA on April 24, 2009

Well the first chase of the year was an all-around dud.  Some nice lightning, but an overrunning and low cloud deck ahead of the storms prevented us from getting any decent shots of the lightning streaking over our heads.  Today I will be ingesting what little footage we have and moving on to the next project, Sunday.

The current forecast from the Storm Prediction Center shows the potential of a major severe weather oubreak in the Kansas, Oklahoma and Texas region.  That’s all well and good, but Iowa will have to contend with front placements and that all important low pressure.

Severe Weather Risk for Sunday, April 26, 2009

Severe Weather Risk for Sunday, April 26, 2009

Current thinking is that by Sunday morning, much of Iowa will be in the warm sector as the front heads back north into southern Minnesota.  That will set the stage for what’s needed, a few hours of warm air streaming into the state.  It’s needed to create instability, the one ingredient we currently lack.  If that happens, all modes of severe weather will be possible.  My chase partner, Barry Hansen and myself will spend tonight getting all equipment ready.  The first run of our new live stream worked well, but not reliably.  That is something that is now fixed and we hope to provide more live coverage tomorrow should the weather warrant.

And as always, check back here or at my twitter account for the latest updates on all things weather in eastern Iowa.

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