Day after day after day we’ve seen some good outbreaks of severe weather. Some in the Appalachian areas of the country. Others, like last night, dominating the weather picture in Missouri, Oklahoma and Texas. In my travels I always hear a lot of people ask “when do you think Iowa will get in on the action.” I never get too impatient with answering that one because my response is always the same. Our turn will come eventually, it always does – and be careful what you wish for.
That chance could come later this week as a very active weather pattern begins to take shape, bringing virtually daily chances for severe weather to the central United States for several days to come. For the Upper Midwest, things get going Tuesday when (as you can see in the graphic above) strong to severe thunderstorms are expected to fire across portions of Nebraska, Kansas, Minnesota, the Dakotas and western Iowa. At this time, the finer details remain up in the air, but it’s safe to assume that all modes of severe weather will be possible with this storm system.
In regards to Tuesday Night, I’m cautiously optimistic we can avoid a large tornado risk and focus instead of the large hail and strong gusty winds that may make their way across Iowa through the overnight hours. There is also the potential for additional rounds of severe weather later this weekend and into next weekend. But at this time it’s too far out to really pinpoint any threats and/or placement of these storm systems.
With such an active weather pattern ahead, we also must begin talking about the potential for heavy rains, flash flooding and river flooding. There is nothing to be exceptionally worried about at this time, but a lot of moisture is on its way (which is normal for this time of year) and we will keep on eye on where the biggest rain totals are reported and what that does to area rivers.
Bottom line is, the threat exists for the next several days for severe weather and it’s something that we’ll be closely monitoring here at the Iowa Storm Chasing Network.